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Geopolitics Research Stocks

Privatization in Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan was nearly closed off to foreign investors until 2016. Unlike Russia, Kazakhstan and other Soviet states, However in recent years, Uzbekistan has started to change in a big way. In 2017 the new president started a reform program, simplifying business regulations, divesting SOEs, floating the exchange rate, allowing visa free access for tourists and […]

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Covid-19 Macro

Modern Monetary Theory and Implications for EM Countries

Modern Monetary Theory is becoming mainstream in developed markets. Governments are suddenly pursuing plans that lead to deficits that would have been unimaginable a decade ago. The US, UK, and Japan, for example are all engaging in record spending sprees to support the economy in the wake of Covid-19. Yet MMT has been slow to […]

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Geopolitics Macro

Chile foreshadows the death of Neoliberalism

Chile was once the neoliberal poster child for Latin America and the broader world of emerging markets. The nominal cause of protests that broke out in October 2019 was a slight increase in the subway fare. But it was connected to something much bigger. According to OpenDemocracy: How could a mobilization that began with an […]

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Hedge Funds Research

Investment Idea: Emerging Market Airports

I came across an intriguing investment idea recently while reading hedge fund letters. Broyhill Asset Management has a note on emerging market airports A perfect storm has hit airports located in emerging economies. Even before a global pandemic decimated travel, emerging market equities and currencies had drastically underperformed their developed market peers, particularly in Latin […]

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Geopolitics Macro

Country Selection in a Deglobalizing World

We’ve written in the past about how the way deglobalization is creating a new opportunity set. Trade policy changes will drive a rearranging in company supply chains.  In general the latest wave of trade policies encourage more regional supply chains. Additionally, they encourage companies to diversify suppliers across markets. Covid-19 will accelerate these changes.  Investors […]